Sunday, March 4, 2018

ACADEMY AWARDS 2018: PLAYING THE PREDICTIONS GAME




Here we go again.  In my humble opinion, The Oscar will go to:

Best Picture: (Hope I am wrong, Get Out is satire, horror and comedy rolled into one)
Call Me By Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Get Out
Lady Bird
Phantom Threads
The Post
*The Shape of Water
Three Billboards in Ebbing, Missouri


Best Actor:
Timothée Chalamet: Call Me By Your Name (don't think so despite a superb performance)
Daniel Day-Lewis: Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluuya:  Get Out
*Gary Oldman:  Darkest Hour (because great past performances have been overlooked)
Denzel Washington:  Roman J. Israel, Esq.


Best Supporting Actor:

*Willem Dafoe:  The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson:  Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins:  The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer:  All The Money in the World
Sam Rockwell:  Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (favored to win, but I'm going out on a limb here with Dafoe since his performance was superb)

Best Actress:
Sally Hawkins:  The Shape of Water
*Frances McDormand  Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie:  I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan:  Lady Bird
Meryl Streep:  The Post


Best Supporting Actress:
Mary J. Blige:  Mudbound
*Allison Janney:  I, Tonya
Lesley Manville:  Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf:  Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer:  The Shape of Water


Best Director:
Paul Thomas Anderson:  Phantom Thread
*Guillermo del Toro:  The Shape of Water
Greta Gerwig:  Lady Bird
Christopher Nolan:  Dunkirk (A++ job)
Jordan Peele:  Get Out (another A++ job, but think its del Toro's year)


Best Adapted Screenplay:
Scott Frank, James Mangold and Michael Green; Story by James Mangold:  Logan
*James Ivory:  Call Me By Your Name
Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber:  The Disaster Artist
Aaron Sorkin: Molly's Game
Virgil William and Dee Rees:  Mudbound


Best Original Screenplay:
Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor, Story by Guillermo del Toro:  The Shape of Water
Greta Gerwig:  Lady Bird
Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani:  The Big Stick
Martin McDonagh:  Three Billboards in Ebbing, Missouri  (may take it from Peele, but I hope not)
*Jordan Peele:  Get Out


Best Original Song:
Mighty River (Mudbound)
Remember Me (Coco)
Stand Up For Something (Marshall)
The Mystery of Love (Call Me By Your Name)
*This is Me (The Greatest Showman)


Best Original Score:
*Alexandra Desplat, The Shape of Water
Carter Burwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Johnny Greenwood, Phantom Thread
John Williams, Star Wars: The Last Zedi
Hans Zimmer, Dunkirk


Best Animated Feature Film:
The Boss Baby 
The Breadwinner
*Coco 
Ferdinand
Loving Vincent


Best Animated Short:
*Dear Basketball
Garden City
Lou
Negative Space
Revolting Rhymes


Best Visual Efforts:
*Blade Runner 2049
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Kong: Skull Island
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes


Best Feature Documentary:
Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
*Faces Places
Icarus
Last Men in Aleppo
Strong Island


Best Short Documentary:
*Edith + Eddie
Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405
Heroin(e)
Knife Skills
Traffic Stop (may be a surprise winner)


Best Foreign Language Film:
*A Fantastic Woman (Chile)
The Insult (Lebanon)
Loveless (Russia)
On Body and Soul (Hungary)
The Square (Sweden)